NIFTY
sidewaysprevious session · freeDaily · close of Thu 3 Sep 2026close
23,873
23,873 – 24,025
change
−0.76%
trend
sideways
sidewaysinside a range, neither side taken
momentum
mixed
6 in 10 · 1,516 cases
normal range
176
one bar, on average
nearest above
23,894
right at the level
nearest below
23,873
right at the level
Price, with every level the desk knows
Thu 3 Sep 2026
Dashed grey: reference levels · dotted violet: the heaviest option strikes · dotted amber: ratio levels · shaded band: the range · triangles: a recorded break or formation.
tested against chance
Tested against chance: past swing zones have not marked reversals better than random ground, the heaviest option strikes have not acted as barriers, formation height has not predicted depth, and these ratios land no closer than arbitrary ones. Every line is a location with its own record — none is a signal.
For NIFTYnearest reference above at 23,894, right at the level; nearest reference below at 23,873, right at the level; past reference zones have not marked reversals better than chancesideways
the range
23,873 – 24,379
widetight
wider than 94 of every 100 comparable periods
compression rule: a move up out of the range
that rule's record
2 in 10 · 4,644 cases
2 in 104,644 cases
worse than a coin toss — the opposite has happened more often
the swing
pullback
the last swing was up; a pullback is in progress
the session
ordinary
trending down
an ordinary session
How far it has tended to travel
Measured reach
| way | typical | one in four | one in ten | in points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up | 1.02× | 1.86× | 2.76× | 179 |
| down | 0.97× | 1.85× | 2.96× | 171 |
over the next five sessions, the typical move has been about 1.0× a normal day's range; one in ten went beyond 2.8× — from 750 past periods.
tested against chance
Measured from every comparable past period, not modelled. The typical case and the one-in-ten case, both ways, with the count of periods behind them.
The option chain and the hedge
Thu 3 Sep 2026
heaviest call strike
24,000
about one normal day's range away
has held
7 in 104,657 cases
heaviest put strike
23,000
about 5 normal day's ranges away
has held
7 in 104,654 cases
tested against chance
Put-call ratio and open-interest change describe how the chain is positioned. The hedge line reads foreign investors' index book by the desk's own rule. Neither is a forecast.
For NIFTYheaviest call strike 24,000; heaviest put strike 23,000; the call wall has held right about 7 times in 10, over 4,657 past casessideways
The numbers behind the chart
Reference levels
| side | price | touches | distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| above | 23,894 | 3 | right at the level |
| above | 23,936 | 2 | about half a normal day's range away |
| above | 23,939 | 1 | about half a normal day's range away |
| below | 23,873 | 2 | right at the level |
| below | 23,870 | 2 | right at the level |
| below | 23,816 | 5 | about half a normal day's range away |
Ratio levels
| ratio | price | kind | reached |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.382 | 24,244 | pullback | yes |
| 0.5 | 24,202 | pullback | yes |
| 0.618 | 24,160 | pullback | yes |
| 0.786 | 24,101 | pullback | yes |
| 1.272 | 24,475 | extension | not yet |
| 1.414 | 24,525 | extension | not yet |
| 1.618 | 24,597 | extension | not yet |
| 2 | 24,732 | extension | not yet |
retracements reached
8 in 1018,596 cases
Momentum
reads mixed
6 in 101,516 cases
tested against chance
The averages, the oscillator and the trend gauge read together — an indication with a record, settled against the close a horizon later.
For NIFTYmomentum reads mixed; this read has been right about 6 times in 10, over 1,516 past casessideways
Recent range breaks
carried two horizons
6 in 10302 cases
| date | way | level | close | carried |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sep | down | 24,026 | 23,873 | |
| 31 Jul | up | 24,367 | 24,384 | ✓✓·· |
| 24 Jul | down | 23,805 | 23,767 | ···· |
| 3 Jul | up | 24,189 | 24,271 | ·✓✓✓ |
| 18 Jun | up | 24,090 | 24,168 | ··✓✓ |
| 8 Jun | down | 23,263 | 23,123 | ✓··· |
| 12 May | down | 23,797 | 23,380 | ✓✓·✓ |
| 8 Apr | up | 23,465 | 23,997 | ✓✓✓✓ |
tested against chance
Tested against chance: breaks have not carried further than random, and about half close back through the level within five sessions. Each is shown with what it actually did.
Formations
measured move reached
5 in 10250 cases
| shape | confirmed | neckline | measured move | outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| double top | 31 Aug | 23,606 | 22,682 | open |
| double top | 31 Aug | 23,606 | 22,845 | open |
| double bottom | 29 Jul | 24,367 | 24,929 | not reached |
| double bottom | 29 Jul | 24,531 | 25,277 | not reached |
| double top | 22 Jul | 23,805 | 23,080 | not reached |
| double bottom | 13 Jul | 24,531 | 25,277 | not reached |
tested against chance
Double tops and bottoms with their measured-move level. Tested against chance, the height has not predicted the depth; the level is shown with its outcome.
The last sessions
| date | close | trend | momentum | range | compression rule | settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sep | 23,873 | sideways | mixed | 23,873–24,379 | breakout | |
| 1 Sep | 24,056 | sideways | mixed | 23,953–24,379 | breakout | |
| 31 Aug | 24,080 | sideways | mixed | 23,994–24,379 | breakout | |
| 28 Aug | 24,176 | rising | mixed | 24,026–24,379 | breakdown | |
| 27 Aug | 24,091 | rising | mixed | 24,026–24,405 | breakdown | as expected |
| 26 Aug | 24,208 | rising | mixed | 24,026–24,432 | breakdown | as expected |
| 25 Aug | 24,335 | rising | mixed | 24,026–24,473 | breakdown | no break |
| 24 Aug | 24,219 | rising | mixed | 24,026–24,577 | breakdown | no break |
| 21 Aug | 24,252 | sideways | mixed | 24,026–24,621 | breakout | no break |
| 20 Aug | 24,232 | sideways | mixed | 24,026–24,630 | breakout | no break |
| 19 Aug | 24,078 | sideways | mixed | 24,026–24,677 | breakout | no break |
| 18 Aug | 24,155 | sideways | mixed | 24,155–24,678 | breakout | opposite |